By Horn Africa News Staff | Addis Ababa
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has once again made it clear that his government is prepared to take any necessary steps—politically or otherwise—to obtain direct access to the sea, a move that is raising alarm across the Horn of Africa.
Speaking at a press briefing in Addis Ababa, Abiy stated:
“Ethiopia will do everything possible to secure access to the sea, but we are committed to abiding by international law.”
His remarks underscore a growing determination by Ethiopia—a landlocked country of over 120 million people—to break what it sees as an unsustainable geopolitical constraint.
The statement comes at a time of increasing regional tension, as Ethiopia’s pursuit of seaport access continues to unsettle neighboring countries, particularly Djibouti, Somalia, and Eritrea. Although Abiy emphasized diplomacy and international norms, his words were widely interpreted as a clear message: Ethiopia’s ambitions will not be deterred.
A Delicate Balance of Diplomacy and Pressure
Observers note that Abiy’s rhetoric blends diplomatic language with subtle yet firm pressure on regional neighbors. While Ethiopia is officially pursuing negotiations and regional partnerships, its growing urgency hints at a potential shift in strategy should diplomatic channels fail.
Ethiopia currently relies heavily on the Port of Djibouti for more than 95% of its maritime trade. However, Addis Ababa has long viewed this dependence as a national vulnerability and has, in recent years, sought alternative solutions—whether through economic deals, strategic alliances, or regional infrastructure projects.
“This is not a new issue,” says a regional analyst based in Nairobi. “But what’s new is the tone—and the timing. Ethiopia seems increasingly unwilling to remain landlocked.”
Rising Regional Concerns
Neighboring states, particularly Somalia, have voiced strong concerns about any moves that could compromise their sovereignty. Earlier this year, Somali officials denounced any external attempts to claim coastal access through pressure or unilateral arrangements, warning that such actions could destabilize the region.
Eritrea, too, has been cautious, maintaining a distant posture as Ethiopia signals greater regional ambition. Meanwhile, Djibouti—Ethiopia’s primary maritime gateway—finds itself in a delicate position, balancing economic ties with national interest.
Risk of Escalation
Experts warn that unless a mutually agreed solution is found, the situation could lead to heightened geopolitical tensions—or even conflict.
“Abiy’s message can be read as a warning: Ethiopia is growing restless,” says a senior Horn of Africa diplomat. “If diplomacy doesn’t deliver results, we may see new forms of pressure—economic, political, or worse.”
The Horn of Africa, already fragile from conflicts in Sudan, Somalia, and northern Ethiopia, could face further instability if the maritime access issue is not resolved through peaceful and cooperative means.
