MOGADISHU, SOMALIA — Former Somali National Security Adviser Hassan Maalim Mohamud has warned that Al-Shabaab may not have the military capacity to capture Somalia’s major cities through armed operations alone, but such a scenario could become possible if the group forms alliances with Somali politicians.
In his remarks, Hassan Maalim argued that although Al-Shabaab faces limitations in its ability to seize and control major urban centres through conventional military force, political cooperation with influential Somali figures could significantly alter the country’s security situation.
He suggested that the threat posed by Al-Shabaab should not be assessed solely in terms of its military strength, warning that political divisions and internal power struggles could create opportunities for the militant group.
His comments highlight the potential consequences of political fragmentation in Somalia, where disagreements among political leaders and government institutions could undermine national security efforts.
The former security adviser’s warning also raises concerns about the possibility of political actors indirectly creating conditions that could benefit Al-Shabaab, particularly if national unity and cooperation against the group weaken.
His remarks come as Somalia continues its military campaign against Al-Shabaab, with security operations remaining a major priority for the federal government.
The central message of his warning is that Al-Shabaab may be unable to take Somalia’s major cities by military force alone, but alliances with Somali political figures could change the balance and create a far more serious security threat.
