By Horn Africa News Staff

Gedo, Somalia – Prime Minister Hamza Abdi Barre has launched a high-stakes political campaign in Somalia’s Gedo region, at a time when President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is spearheading efforts to resolve long-standing tensions between the Federal Government and the Jubaland administration.

Barre’s political drive—marked by the mobilization of local allies and deployment of federal influence—has drawn sharp reactions from political analysts and local leaders, who warn that the move risks reigniting divisions in a region historically plagued by power struggles and fragile governance.

Insiders familiar with the developments say the Prime Minister is seeking to consolidate federal control in Gedo ahead of upcoming political negotiations. Yet, many view the timing and tone of his campaign as provocative, particularly given the region’s recent efforts toward fragile stability.

“The Prime Minister’s abrupt political incursion into Gedo could be deeply polarizing,” said a Mogadishu-based analyst. “This area has suffered from repeated cycles of conflict. Reigniting political rivalry now could set back hard-earned gains.”

Tensions have been further inflamed by reports that a group of federal troops recently surrendered to a neighboring country under murky circumstances. In addition, an attempt to reactivate the contentious Raaskambooni militia reportedly failed, deepening unease among Gedo’s residents and raising fears of renewed instability.

Observers are urging the federal government to shift its focus from political maneuvering to humanitarian action. Gedo is currently grappling with acute food insecurity and displacement, and residents have voiced concern that their needs are being sidelined by top-level political gamesmanship.

“This is not the time for power contests,” warned a political commentator. “What Gedo needs is urgent aid, reconciliation, and open dialogue—particularly with Jubaland’s leadership, which remains a critical player in regional peace.”

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has continued to push for a negotiated political settlement. His administration is advocating for an inclusive approach to state-building, one grounded in dialogue and cooperation rather than coercion or fragmentation.

But analysts caution that unless federal and regional actors align their approaches, Gedo risks slipping back into conflict—potentially threatening broader national cohesion.

As political activity intensifies, many Somalis are watching closely, hoping that wisdom and restraint will prevail over brinkmanship and division.

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